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Hurricane Supply List
  • 2 Week Supply of Water (1gal/day Per Person)
  • 2 Week Supply of Food (non perishable/canned)
  • Household bleach
  • Flashlights
  • Radio/Weather Radio(Battery Operated)
  • Batteries (rechargeable)
  • Fire Extinguisher
  • Matches
  • Sterno Stove with Fuel
  • Disposable Plates and Utensils
  • Hand Can Opener
  • Soap
  • Toiletries
  • Toilet Paper (in Ziploc Bag)
  • Mosquito repellent
  • First Aid Kit
  • Two Week Supply of Pet Food




     
 

Talking Hurricanes With Miami Meteorologist David Bernard
By Joshua Head

Miami Beach FL - May 30, 2009 --- Monday, June 1st begins the 2009 hurricane season.  This year looks to be an average season with National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicting 9-14 named storms, 4-7 hurricanes and 1-3 major hurricanes. In our effort to help prepare residents and visitors for hurricane season 2009, we asked CBS4 Chief Chief Meteorologist David BernardMeteorologist David Bernard a few questions about hurricanes. David is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist and retains the American Meteorological Society’s AMS Seal of Approval. He also has the professional broadcasting certification from the National Weather Association.

Bernard joined CBS4 News Team in August 2005 just before Hurricane Katrina devastated New Orleans.


Q.  You’re no stranger to hurricanes. Prior to working in Miami, you worked in New Orleans and arrived in Miami only six weeks before Hurricane Katrina hit South Florida and devastated your former home in Louisiana. What differences have you found between New Orleans and Miami with weather forecasts? Is there anything that makes South Florida more difficult when forecasting volatile weather?

 

A.   South Florida is quite unique when it comes to weather forecasting. We basically have two seasons here: Rainy season and the dry season. The rainy season is typically from late May until late October when we then transition back to the dry season. South Florida is the first market that I’ve worked in where the weather is almost completely non-existent at one time of the year and then filled with constant action the rest. The hardest part about forecasting the weather here during rainy season is that most of our weather is influenced by the tropics and our daily sea breezes. A lot of times it’s hard to pinpoint exactly where the worst storms will be each day. Miami Beach can have a sunny hot afternoon while Fort Lauderdale might see flooding and over 5 inches of rain!

 

Q.  Do you feel that South Florida is more prepared to deal with hurricanes than other places?

 

A.  After Hurricane Andrew in 1992, Miami-Dade County along with Broward began a review of its building codes. It took a number of years, but eventually, the toughest building codes in the country were enforced. The reality is that we live in a hurricane zone and so we need to build structures to withstand most, if not all hurricanes. There is a program through the state called http://www.mysafefloridahome.com . I encourage anyone who is looking to make modifications to their home to visit the site and apply for available grant money and to see if the products they are using meet Miami-Dade standards.

 

Q.  The latest report I’ve seen showed that an El Niño was beginning to form in the Pacific, which usually means that fewer hurricanes form in the Atlantic. Do you feel that the El Niño will strengthen enough to affect the number of hurricanes that form this year?

 

A.  It does appear that at least a weak El Niño is forming in the Pacific. Generally, a weak El Niño does not have a major impact on storm production. However, it is certainly not necessarily a positive factor. More importantly this year are the water temperatures over the Atlantic. They are considerably cooler than in recent years. But I’ll repeat my famous mantra of "it only takes one storm". Hurricane Andrew in August of 1992 was during a strong El Niño. Case in point. (**Incidently, 1992 only had 6 named storms and only 4 hurricanes. Andrew was the only hurricane to make US landfall that year.)

Even though South Florida has the toughest building standards in the United States, sometimes that isn’t Hurricane Franenough to prevent structural damage. Look at the damage that Hurricane Wilma (a category 2 storm) caused in the Brickell area in 2005. Many of the buildings there were built with the high standards in place, but sometimes there is just no predicting how a building will react to the strong hurricane winds, rain, and projectiles.

Also, don’t forget to compile a home inventory, just in case. What will you do when the insurance company asks you for a list of your belongings destroyed in a storm? Will you be able to prove what property you had and the condition it was in prior to the storm? What it cost?

The Insurance Information Institute offers free computer software that can help with the home inventory process. This software makes creating and updating your home inventory easy. And with their free, secure online storage you will have access to your inventory anywhere, any time. You never know when a disaster may strike - but you can be prepared with a home inventory. The software allows you to keep track of your belongings in room-by-room files, where you can also record purchase price, date purchased, and serial number, as well as upload photos.

Q.    With preparation in mind, I asked David what is the biggest mistake people make when preparing for a hurricane?

 

A.    That’s easy. Not preparing! Most people don’t have a plan. People’s natural reaction is to believe bad things won’t happen to them. In short, know if you need to evacuate and what to do with your pets. If you don’t need to evacuate, then be prepared to have enough food and water for four days without government assistance and a 30 day supply of medications. Also, if you live in a condo you can’t have a generator. I HIGHLY recommend buying at least one portable ac/dc portable battery supply (Like the one to the right). Best item you can have.

 

Q.    What has been your worst experience with a hurricane?


A.    That’s easy. CBS4 in Miami sent me to New Orleans one day after Hurricane Katrina hit Louisiana. I was there five days and saw the worst damage and human suffering I’ve ever experienced. A true nightmare.

 

Q.    Many times we hear someone say a hurricane may jog to the left or right; giving an uncertainty to the forecast. The forecasts from the Hurricane Center have pretty much been spot on over the last couple of years. With the advancements of today’s forecasting technology, what is the probability that a hurricane that is forecasted to hit one area will unexpectedly change direction and hit somewhere else?

 

A.    Let me take that question and answer it a little differently. Most people are used to seeing the “cone of uncertainty” on television or on the internet. I always stress the forecast cone and not the individual forecast points (where you see the actual hurricane symbol plotted). Because the reality is, the hurricane is somewhere in that forecast cone 2/3 of the time. HOWEVER, 1/3 of the time the storm ends up not even being in the cone.

 

Q.    If tourists have a planned vacation to Miami Beach and there is a storm forming, should they try to reschedule their trip or just take the better chance that it most likely will not hit here?

 

A.    This all depends on where the storm is forming and the timing. If there appears to be a reasonable chance that South Florida could see some effects (in other words we are in the cone three, four or five days out), then a reschedule is the best option. November through July is the best time to visit. Our main hurricane threat is August-October.

 

Q.    If you were a tourist staying at a hotel and a category 1 storm was forecast to hit Miami Beach, would you cut your vacation early?

A. Yes. To begin, hotels might not allow you to stay. In addition, depending on the storm an evacuation could be ordered. Even if one is not called (evacuations are called based on potential storm surge), a Category 1 could cause power outages and other inconveniences that would not make for a happy time. There is also the distinct possibility that a storm could strengthen significantly at the last moment before landfall and you would be dealing with a much more serious situation with nowhere to go.

Q.    Since tropical storms usually cause less damage than hurricanes, (mostly downed tree limbs, some flooding, etc.), why is it forecasters seem to hype them as much as hurricanes? Do you feel that doing so may lead to “tropical storm fatigue” and cause people to take future, even stronger storms, less seriously?

A.  That’s not always the case. There have been many tropical storms over the years that have caused tremendous flooding and damage. The same goes for Category 1 hurricanes. Just look at Hurricane Irene in 1999 and Hurricane Katrina in 2005. They were both “barely” hurricanes but caused a great amount of damage and flooding to parts of our area. I treat each storm individually. They are all different and pose different threats at different times. We never “hype” at CBS4.

I want to personally thank CBS4 Chief Meteorologist David Bernard for taking time out of his busy schedule to help us prepare for this and future hurricane seasons. Although the busy 2005 season was an anomaly, as David said earlier, it only takes ONE to devastate a community. The media coverage of hurricanes is not excessive since there are still so many people who do not prepare and even ignore the trained advice all together.